Is China Facing a Second or Multiple Mini-Waves of The COVID-19 Coronavirus Outbreak?: Cinemas Across China Re-Close / Hong Kong & Japan Face Reemerging Lockdown

By Ryan Carroll, Managing Editor

March, 2019

NOTE. This article will be updated as needed, and will be reposted across social media when done so. #BeSafe & #BeKindToOthers

Variety reported in the early hours of March 27th that Chinese Cinemas had “re-shuttered” after about 500 screens across 4 provinces and 2 autonomous regions, had re-opened for less-than a week.

These cinemas were mostly far from the major cities of the Eastern Coast, with the exception of two of the provinces.

This reporting, and the tweet itself by the Variety reporter Rebecca Davis, is the reason why I am writing this article. An article I was not planning on writing, as the views were just some personal analysis I had shared to a few close friends late last night and early this morning.

That China may be facing a second wave, or possibly multiple small outbreaks, because as of Wednesday, residents in Hubei who have a Green QR code were allowed to leave the province. Along with many who were not allowed to enter the province, who also have a Green QR code, can enter the province.

Also, for the first time those with Green QR codes could enter the city of Wuhan, but if they did they could not leave.

A Green QR code on every Chinese citizen’s (and foreigner’s too) smartphone signifies that you have been tested and passed a health screening. But, Caixin Global is reporting that asystematic patients are still being found in the Greater Wuhan Area but are not being reported in the statistics in China.

As asystematic people can pass along the virus to people who have not previously have had the virus themselves, but in the province of Hubei over the two month period. It is reasonable to assume that the majority of the population had contact with the COVID-19 coronavirus in one form or another. Thus building, at the least, short-term anti-bodies to it.

This is the issue that the rest of China now faces. As Dr. Anthony Fauci has stated many many times, that the United States itself may face the same situation itself. Even coming next winter during the flu season for Americans.

As, yes, China’s draconian containment methods, along with Asian cultural and societal norms, that cannot be replicated here in the West, were incredibly effective in preventing the spread of the COVID-19 coronavirus outside the Greater Wuhan Area. But, without large population immunity and antibodies build-up within the society, if the virus has moved outside of Hubei. China may be facing the same situation it faced just one month ago.

I do hope I am wrong, and that I am just being paranoid while I self-isolate and can look back at this article with a sense of relief, and repost it with an emoji face with the little sweat bead with the caption: “got that one wrong.”

But, in the coming days we will be seeing how the situation in Hong Kong and Tokyo / Japan unfolds. As both cities / nation appear to be facing a re-emergence of the virus and need for a complete government ordered lockdown.

UPDATE: Hong Kong for the first time has shuttered all cinemas across the islands, while in Tokyo Toho has closed its doors, and in South Korea CJ Entertainment’s CGV is closing down 30% of its theaters today (Saturday as of this update), as reported by Deadline.

Stay Tuned China Watchers, and Please Be Kind To One Another. Humanity Is In This Together – No Matter Where You Are. A Little Compassion Helps.

All things are part of one single system, which is called Nature; the individual life is good when it is in harmony with nature.

Zeno of Citium

Sympatheia: n. The belief in mutual interdependence among everything in the universe….that we are all one.

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About the Author

Born and raised in the Missouri-Ozarks Ryan studied Film Production, and East Asian Culture, at the University of Kansas where he was a UGRA recipient that led him on a seven-year long, Journey From the West, to China. Where he worked with Warner Brothers, the China Film Group Corp. and the National Bureau of Statistics of China. Before returning to the States, where he specializes in Chinese Anime & Comics, China’s Box-Office, and Chinese entertainment-tech industries. He has a dog in China, Abigail, and a dog in the Arkansas-Ozarks, King Blue, who help ease his anxiety of suffering from the “Two-Dimensional Complex” that is trying to understand the Culture Industry landscapes of the Middle Kingdom.